Understanding Elections through Statistics: Polling, Prediction, and Testing
English | 2021 | ISBN: 0367895374 | 226 Pages | PDF | 11 MB
Elections are random events. From individuals deciding whether to vote, to people deciding for whom to vote, to election authorities deciding what to count, the outcomes of competitive democratic elections are rarely known until election day...or beyond. Understanding Elections through Statistics: Polling, Prediction, and Testing explores this random phenomenon from two points of view: predicting the election outcome using opinion polls and testing the election outcome using government-reported data.