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Forecasting David Hendry

Forecasting David Hendry | 6.69 MB
English | 242 Pages

Title: Forecasting
Author: David Hendry
Year: 2019




Description:
Concise, engaging, and highly intuitive—this accessible guide equips you with an understanding of all the basic principles of forecasting
Making accurate predictions about the economy has always been difficult, as F. A. Hayek noted when accepting his Nobel Prize in economics, but today forecasters have to contend with increasing complexity and unpredictable feedback loops. In this accessible and engaging guide, David Hendry, Michael Clements, and Jennifer Castle provide a concise and highly intuitive overview of the process and problems of forecasting. They explain forecasting concepts including how to evaluate forecasts, how to respond to forecast failures, and the challenges of forecasting accurately in a rapidly changing world.
Topics covered include: What is a forecast? How are forecasts judged? And how can forecast failure be avoided? Concepts are illustrated using real-world examples including financial crises, the uncertainty of Brexit, and the Federal Reserv

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